Model-driven WNBA picks, graded daily.
2026 Live Record
122 of 129 cards graded · updated Jun 22, 10:39 AM
Strong Leans · The Bet Ledger
Modest Leans
27-3642.9% win-18.2% ROI
All Picks (Strong + Modest)
81-9047.4% win-9.6% ROI
By Market · Tier
| Market | Tier | Record | Win% | ROI |
|---|
| spread | STRONG LEAN | 27-27 | 50.0% | -4.5% |
| spread | MODEST LEAN | 13-17 | 43.3% | -17.3% |
| total | STRONG LEAN | 27-27 | 50.0% | -4.5% |
| total | MODEST LEAN | 14-19 | 42.4% | -19.0% |
Tonight's Featured Card
See all game plans for the full slate.
ARC WNBA
GAME PLAN
Total · MODEST LEAN
UNDER 168.8
Market: 168.8
Model: 161.43
Team Profile
CHI
ORtg98.8
DRtg111.9
Net-13.1
Pace76.7
CON
ORtg98.3
DRtg111.4
Net-13.1
Pace76.9
Quarter-by-Quarter Edge
Quarter Spread Plays
- STRONG LEANCON Q2edge +4.7CON Q2 net +2.8 vs CHI Q2 net -1.9
- STRONG LEANCON Q3edge +4.6CON Q3 net +3.2 vs CHI Q3 net -1.4
- MODEST LEANCON Q4edge +1.6CON Q4 net +0.3 vs CHI Q4 net -1.3
Quarter Splits + Clutch
CHI
Q120.1 pts-0.6(7/12)
Q219.0 pts-1.9(10/12)
Q320.1 pts-1.4(9/12)
Q418.2 pts-1.3(10/12)
Clutch · Last 5 min, ±5
8-16 (33.3%) · net -0.8(9/12)
Top Defenders
- Kaela DavisD-FG% 20.0
- Kysre GondrezickD-FG% 25.0
- Elizabeth WilliamsD-FG% 35.1
CON
Q119.9 pts+0.1(5/12)
Q220.3 pts+2.8(1/12)
Q320.7 pts+3.2(2/12)
Q418.6 pts+0.3(5/12)
Clutch · Last 5 min, ±5
12-10 (54.5%) · net +0.7(5/12)
Top Defenders
- Tiffany MitchellD-FG% 35.2
- DiJonai CarringtonD-FG% 40.3
- Olivia Nelson-OdodaD-FG% 40.6
Injury Report
CHI
- Courtney VanderslootOut · Knee
- DiJonai CarringtonOut · Foot
- Rickea JacksonOut · Knee
CON
- Hailey Van LithOut · Ankle
HCA 2 · Books 11/11Generated Jun 22, 7:59 AM
2025 Backtest Reference
Holdout backtest on 2025 WNBA season. The 2026 record above is live.
New York Liberty @ Las Vegas Aces
LVA-3.5(-110)
Line value: +2.3
Connecticut Sun @ Indiana Fever
CON+1.5(-105)
Line value: +1.6
Phoenix Mercury @ Minnesota Lynx
UNDER+164.5(-108)
Line value: +0.7
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